RT @Citrini7: I spent 100 hours over the past week researching, writing and editing the piece we just put out. It’s a scenario, not a pred…

RT @diyas_1989: done reading druckenmiller 13F 1. Sndk closed all solded 2. Buy back semi equipment 3. New position in Sic/GaN fabs basket…

RT @1ChartMaster: Everyone always asks me where to place their stop. Use the 30 min pivot for your entry and the risk is defined by the pi…

RT @diyas_1989: I heard some progress of groq and nvda, CIM is near

“During the investor presentation, which included top executives Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar and apps chief Fidji Simo, OpenAI leaders said they expected the company’s future products and agents targeted at businesses to replace software from tech firms including Salesforce, Workday, Adobe, Slack and Atlassian, according to the person with knowledge of the presentation” Now OAI also joined the game, these savages

RT @labubu_trader: @KevinXInvest LOL, I have a similar chart to yours. Yes, VIX is in a rising channel like before. I'd wait for it to dip…

Fortunately, today we are not seeing a similar pattern to Wednesday. The VIX dipped and never recovered, losing the major level of 20. ES reclaimed 6920, and NQ was very close to the safe level. I closed most of my SPY/QQQ put hedge before the market close. https://t.co/4BRkgEsKdG

https://t.co/uuMxzGRjKd Yesterday once more $PANW $CRWD

Only IWM cares about this GDP data, the PCE is a non event

The Fed already has January CPI data, so December PCE is a non-event. Long-duration bonds don't seem to care.

Great note. Robert did a much better job explaining VIX expiration and OPEX than me. His note is more predictable and actionable, while I’m only reacting to the volatility change passively.

Yes, this is a good indicator for a market bottom or a short term rebound when the market is dropping sharply. Another good indicator is the dark pool index (DIX). However, these signals are quite reliable only for short-term bounces but not for mid- or long-term moves.

RT @ZeeContrarian1: 𝗪𝗛𝗔𝗧 𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗬𝗢𝗨 𝗛𝗘𝗗𝗚𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗔𝗚𝗔𝗜𝗡𝗦𝗧? When people say they are hedging their portfolio, they usually say it as one simple stat…

$app is also hiring folks for building feed ads products https://t.co/86SLFSgOeE Might be related to OAI’s partnership?

$DE $CAT 🥹

RT @abcampbell: Kalsi has more alpha on rates than fed funds futures 👀 This is a big deal https://t.co/ohdA14Rpbv

RT @ConnorJBates_: Slow Down CAPEX? Chart shows the net % of FMS investors saying companies are "overinvesting" Source: BofA FMS https:…

I think $MSFT will likely be the first one to start the “Capex Recession” and bring the plague to $SMH. Why? 1. MSFT was the most reluctant to join the capex arms race and had multiple quarters of Azure growth misses due to “supply constraints.” 2. In podcasts, Satya has expressed confusion about why the market focuses so much on Azure growth instead of their progress in AI applications. 3. He also said MSFT should focus on the high-margin software business rather than the low-margin GPU rental business. 4. Satya is not the founder, so he doesn’t have the guts to ignore angry shareholders and steer the company however he wants. He can’t bear the failure of screwing up a $3T company, which would ruin his career and life. 5. Even in the AI cloud business, MSFT has no cost advantage over AWS and GCP. 6. $MSFT stock took the most damage recently alongside $ORCL In summary, I think $MSFT will very likely be the first to quit this arms race and embrace AI modeling and software business. When? I think once $MSFT dips below $340 (the level when the overall bull market started in 10/2023) and stays below it, the next earnings report will be when he announces this.

My personal thoughts : We might see another similar move pattern on Friday. VIX dips in AM and rises in PM Anyway if ES retests 6910-20, NQ retests 25090-25160 and can’t reclaim, then it’s still a bearish environment. If ES breaks down 6800, I’d expect more violent downward move.

RT @RYANHINGSHING: @TShirtnJeans2 @labubu_trader @Spheniscidae007 Iran is buying time by talking about negotiation framework, but we all kn…