想依据消息面交易就是鬼扯。 今天这个Turboquant还有SpaceX 4月IPO的消息，要么是无根无据要么干脆就是假新闻。 结果存储大跌，火箭起飞。 $MU $SNDK $RKLB $FLY 所以市场对消息面的消化和解读，根本就是不能预测和判断的，除非已经看到了结果。

I'd treat this as the DeepSeek moment for memory names(SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron) I checked the original paper: https://t.co/8LzkLgP5np, it's not surprising to me that new quantization method will get better and better. And since KV Cache is the bottleneck for lots of agentic use cases(long context window), there will be more and more optimization trying to compress the size and save the memory bandwidth. However, reduce the KV cache by 10X that doesn't mean the economic demand to HBM/DDR will shrink in the future(Jevons paradox) I already bought the dip when $MU had the 2nd leg intraday to test the LOD but didn't break down further.

Google Research发表的新论文TurboQuant是一种新的量化权重（更低保存精度）的技术，可能会极大减少AI推理中对内存的需求，该消息迫使存储股票 $MU $SNDK 大跌。 说实话这样的技术在顶会中是一个常被研究讨论的话题，所以不认为这真的会改变内存需求的基本面以及已经下的订单。

RT @hamids: This is the story of $MU Bears: https://t.co/kQeMMp18Gi

RT @Sean14978416: $MU: MS d/g out of Asia late last week ct. weakness. https://t.co/N7JK6PrQKK

My current view on the U.S. stock market: Geopolitics could get worse before it gets better—but I remain optimistic. Why downside risk still exists: Trump appears highly motivated to exit the war, but key uncertainties remain: the Strait is still closed, and enriched uranium destruction is unconfirmed. That leaves room for escalation scenarios—targeting power infrastructure, boots on the ground near Kharg Island, or even use of tactical nukes (e.g. B61 to bomb the underground facility) to force negotiations. As Bessent said: “50 days of higher prices for 50 years of no Iran nukes” “Sometimes you have to escalate to de-escalate.” Why I’m still optimistic: First let's check how the war impacts the markets: Oil ↑ → headline PCE ↑ → core PCE ↑ → fewer cuts / potential hikes → yields ↑ → PE multiples ↓ -> stock price ↓ So the two reasons I'm thinking it's still much better than 2022: 1. Nasdaq has already consolidated ~6 months while EPS surged → forward P/E reset near last year’s “Liberation Day” levels 2. Pre-Ukraine war PCE was ~7%; today ~2.8% → far less pressure for aggressive hikes vs 2022 So even a severe scenario likely < 2022 drawdown. And my estimates of the bear cases: Extremely bear case: QQQ ~ -10%(2022 level) Bear case: SPX ~6150, NDX ~22200 (Feb ’25 ATH zone) What's my strategy? Stay 20–25% invested (no leverage no margin). Holding $TQQQ / $MU / $SNDK. Double position at SPX 6150, and double again on either extreme downside(2022 case) or trend reversal (20EMA > 50EMA) after things settle down. Why still prefer storage names? Low PE multiple, trading ~5x ’26 EPS / ~3x ’27 EPS (per @FundaAI ).

DVOL 80%, spx 6500, qqq 580 First capitulation for a while since 10/10/2025 Start to buy TQQQ and MU now.

$MU的财报极其强力，股票却下跌了。 现在$MU 的gross margin比 $NVDA 还高。

存储在回归，正如我之前说的GTC是内存的主场。 $EWY $MU $SNDK

和传闻不同， $MU 也将供应Rubin的HBM4而不是由三星海力司士独家供应。

这周GTC的演讲主题，将集中在内存与下一代GPU $INTC $MU $SNDK $NVDA $EWY

RT @diyas_1989: nvda LPU sram fear on GTC may shake out crowded trade on sndk/mu/sk hynix and samsung. But definitely not end of cycle, bec…

RT @insane_analyst: Memory stocks should not be viewed on P/E basis. Literally go to 2023 $MU earnings calls where Sanjay was publicly beg…

下周做 $NVDA 财报，直接 $MU 或者 $TSM 侧击。 Bull spread美滋滋。

$MU will produce HBM4 earlier than expected timeline.

这个跟我们团队看法很一致：存储现货高点谨慎投存储资产 不太敢追高因为虽然数据中心HBM一定缺货，但是随着电子消费端缓解，“痛感”消失。过程中，市场叙事会无厘头地逆转。这就好像现在买不到货，所以无厘头地抢股票买一样～ 另外MU只是慢，小作文有点过了 另外之另外，存储周期性强要看PS而不是PE

This sounds way more reasonable than SemiAnalysis’s complete rule-out of $MU in the HBM4 supply.

$SNDK and $MU are insane again?

It makes perfect sense. $MU also trades at a huge premium compared to Samsung and SK Hynix. This is a clear case of 'American Exceptionalism' in the markets—US-listed assets simply command higher valuation multiples.

$MU is enjoying a massive run due to the DRAM supply squeeze, but memory is still cyclical. I prefer $AMD and $INTC even without the immediate price hikes. Why? Because scarcity in intellectual property is worth more than scarcity in commodities. The x86 monopoly is the true engine for sustained, long-term alpha.

Breakout Alert: Is $AMD the Next $MU? 🚀 For months, both $AMD and $MU were coiled in the $200-$250 consolidation zone. Then, $MU exploded, fueled by insatiable AI memory demand, shattering resistance and launching into a powerful new trend. Now, with the CPU & AI revolution hitting hyperdrive, $AMD is primed to ignite. The chart shows a massive potential 80%+ upside as it follows Micron's breakout path. Don't miss the next big move in semi's! 🔥📈