THE ONE THING NOT TO DO WHEN INVESTING IN STOCKS! $IONQ - $RGTI - $LAES - $BTQ - $OKLO - $JOBY - $ASTS - $NVDA - $NBIS - $IREN - $AMZN - $GLXY- $ALT - $TSLA - $SLS - $META - $PLTR - $AVGO- $CRWV- $MSTR- $COIN As Peter Lynch said: “Stocks are not lottery tickets.” “There is a company behind every stock.” “Trying to predict the market is a waste of time.” That advice is timeless- over the last year, new investors piled into hype themes: - Quantum: $IONQ, $RGTI, $LAES, $BTQ -Nuclear: $OKLO - Flying cars: $JOBY $ARCH - Strong risk‑on tilt: crypto/BTC proxies ( $IREN, $GLXY, $COIN, $MSTR, $IBIT + miners) and AI/infra momentum ( $AVGO, $CRWV, $PLTR). Some of these ran 1,000%–4,000% in a year - despite no profits, and in some cases barely any revenue - yet they’re valued in the billions. That’s not investing this is gambling on momentum, Here’s how the cycle usually works: - Story gets hot - Retail piles in - Funds and algos distribute into strength The fundamentals start to show (or the lack of), reality hits and Retail is left holding the bag! We’ve already seen 60 - 80% drawdowns in the last few months alone - and bubbles rarely stop there! The $SPY is less than 5% away from all time highs - if we get a correction these names will collapse even more! Keep it simple. Buy profitable, growing companies that generate real cash flow. That’s why I like companies like $META - it’s a compounding machine, not a hype stock based on the promise of some future breakthrough. Common Sense: 1. Don’t chase hype. 2. Stocks are not lottery tickets. 3. Own real businesses.

现在做空最怕的是尾部风险，就是有可能突然飙升。 所以不如做多加密货币， $CRCL $COIN $HOOD $MSTR

加密货币有龙气 $CRCL $COIN $HOOD 从中东外逃的资本可能涌入了加密货币市场

THE PSYCHOLOGY MISTAKES YOU MUST AVOID AS A RETAIL INVESTOR / TRADER! 1.Chasing hype
 - Retail investors buy after the big move.
 Examples:
 – Peloton ( $PTON) : +440% in 2020 them collapses –95% from peak
 – Rivian ( $RIVN ): $179 high to –85%+
 – Coinbase ( $COIN ): $342 peak to –88% before recovering We see it now with quantum and nucluer too, new investors buying at peak valuations and the likes of $RGTI has collapsed over 70% since! Research shows the average investor underperforms the S&P by 5–7% per year because of bad timing. 2. Loss aversion
 - Humans feel losses 2× more strongly than gains (Kahneman & Tversky).
 - This leads to panic selling after a 10–20% dip - even though the S&P 500 has recovered from every correction in history. The most owned retail stocks are e hardest hit (e.g. IONQ is 30% owned by Korean retail investors alone) 3.Overconfidence
 - 74% of beginners believe they’ll “beat the market.”
- In reality, only ~10% of active traders outperform after costs (Barber & Odean). 4. FOMO trading
60%+ of Gen Z investors admit they bought a stock only because it was trending.
FOMO is not an investing strategy - know what you are buying! Common-Sense Investing Tips (that actually help) 1. Own quality & think long-term
S&P 500 rolling 20-year returns have never been negative.
 Why it helps: Time reduces volatility - emotions calm down. 2. Use position sizing
Whether you are long or short - no single stock should wreck your portfolio. I keep every position under 5%. 
Why it helps: One bad earnings report can’t destroy months or years of progress. 3. Focus on fundamentals, not noise
Revenue growth, margins, cash flow, product adoption.
 Why it helps: These drive long-term performance - not hype/sentiment cycles. If you want to survive the market: manage emotions, stay long-term, and follow common-sense. Hype fades, your investing journey should be a life long one - don’t fall into get rich quick positions because you saw someone on X turn $35k into $11million, who knows if any of it is even real! Stick with it, and your future self will thank you!

February is not even over yet.... which are you bag-holding? S&P 500's biggest market cap losers YTD so far: • $INTU -45.6% • $APP -44.3% • $IT -42.1% • $WDAY -40% • $HOOD -37.8% • $TTD -36.7% • $EPAM -36.6% • $NOW -34.2% • $FDS -34.1% • $EXPE -33.4% • $CRM -32.8% • $COIN -30.5% • $ADBE -29.7% • $HUM -29% Tech/SaaS/fintech/healthcare bloodbath!

THIS is how retail investors lose money - chasing hype instead of businesses. $IONQ - $RGTI - $LAES - $BTQ - $OKLO - $JOBY - $ASTS - $NVDA - $NBIS - $IREN - $AMZN - $GLXY- $ALT - $TSLA - $SLS - $META - $PLTR - $AVGO- $CRWV- $MSTR- $COIN As Peter Lynch said: “Stocks are not lottery tickets.” “There is a company behind every stock.” “Trying to predict the market is a waste of time.” That advice is timeless- right now, new investors are piling into hype themes: - Quantum: $IONQ, $RGTI, $LAES, $BTQ -Nuclear: $OKLO - Flying cars: $JOBY - Strong risk‑on tilt: Crypto/BTC proxies ( $IREN, $GLXY, $COIN, $MSTR, $IBIT + miners) and AI/infra momentum ( $AVGO, $CRWV, $PLTR). Some of these ran 1,000%–4,000% in a year - despite no profits, and in some cases barely any revenue - yet they’re valued in the billions. That’s not investing this is gambling on momentum, Here’s how the cycle usually works: - Story gets hot - Retail piles in - Funds and algos distribute into strength The fundamentals start to show (or the lack of), reality hits and Retail is left holding the bag! We’ve already seen 60 - 70% drawdowns in the last few months alone - and bubbles rarely stop there! The $SPY is less than 2% away from all time highs - if we get a correction these names will collapse even more! Keep it simple. Buy profitable, growing companies that generate real cash flow. That’s why I like companies like $META - it’s a compounding machine, not a hype stock based on the promise of some future breakthrough. Common Sense: 1. Don’t chase hype. 2. Stocks are not lottery tickets. 3. Own real businesses.

Retail Is Concentrated - And It’s Mostly Risk‑On. They are not positioned for what's coming! Some of the top Retail concentrations: - $ASTS - $NVDA - $NBIS - $IREN - $AMZN - $GLXY - $ALT - $TSLA - $SLS - $META - $PLTR - $AVGO - $CRWV - $MSTR - $COIN What stands out Strong risk‑on tilt: - Crypto/BTC proxies (IREN, GLXY, COIN, MSTR, IBIT + miners) and AI/infra momentum (NVDA, AVGO, CRWV, PLTR). Only a small defensive/cash anchor allocation: SGOV/VTI/VOO/VUG are in the list but much further down. Takeaway: Retail looks growth‑heavy, crypto‑tilted, momentum‑driven. They are not prepared for what's coming!

I learned this month to use inverted scale charts to find short candidates, great tool for a perma-bull like me Examples: $IGV weekly "double bottom" $COIN daily "parabolic move with bull flag" like SNDK $PLTR daily "H&S bottom" $XLF "downward channel & 200d SMA breakout" https://t.co/uRG9Krq2Lr

币股和币脱钩了？ $COIN $CRCL $HOOD?